Statistics: the ecological fallacy

Apparently I'm putting statistics on this blog.  Maybe this will turn out to be a modeling blog; it kind of feels like it already.

The Ecological Fallacy is attributing features at the individual level based on statistics and trends at the group level.  It's not always easy to recognize.

Review of Nate Silver's book

Wow, this is a great review - of how Silver overestimates his own expertise in the financial and medical fields, essentially by failing to model the context in which numerical models are originated and used.

Dead people liking things on Facebook

Apparently Facebook has like-spam.

Everybody in the US under surveillance

NSA whistleblower William Binney says everybody in the US is under surveillance at this point.

Stephanie Kelton on the Fiscal Cliff

Interesting economist's take on the Fiscal Cliff.